Post by tarquinfintimlin on Aug 8, 2017 20:31:39 GMT
Hello all. New to the forum but I have been reading about this case for some time. The recent Casefile podcast revived my interest in this case and now I am getting sucked back in. I've been following and reading many of the posts in this forum when I have time and finally decided to join the discussion.
So, with that in mind, I would like to raise the question on why we see the relatively larger breaks in time as the offender became more and more experienced and violent. From what I have read, serial suspects generally increase the frequency of their attacks as they continue their crimes, especially when the amount of violence increases.
In this case, the offender seems to have done the exact opposite. In the first year, there was one attack a month except for October where there were four; two on the same day actually. In the second year (1977), there were roughly two a month, again, except for October where there were four. There was also an almost four month break in 1977. In 1978, the frequency was essentially the same except there were four attacks in June and three attacks in October. Then, after two attacks in early December of 1978, there was a pause of several attacks until the next attack in early April of 1979. Then, after three attacks in June of 1979, the attacks seem to slow down where there was only one attack every 2-3 months. This continued through the third attack in Southern California in March of 1980. Then the attacks slowed down even more, with one happening roughly every five months. That continued until the last break between the sixth and seventh (last known) attack in Southern California where there was a break of almost five years.
Does anyone know of any information on the significance of these breaks? To me, this seems to be a real clue that could lead to the killer's identity. The number of attacks in October in the early years seems to be significant. The frequency in June in 1978 and 1979 also seems to be significant. Is there an industry that experiences yearly slowdowns during those months (obviously giving the offender more time to carry out attacks)?
The breaks toward the end of the attacks also seems to be very strange. Why the significant slowdown? I don't see those long breaks as necessarily a sign he was in jail or otherwise detained since they seem to be very cyclical but could this be the sign of the military link? And why the large break at the end. What was he doing during that long period of time. Would he be able to hold back his urges during that period to time and then just pop up to commit one more? Seems highly unlikely to me based on what I have read.
Anyway, just wanted to raise these issues and see if everyone else finds them very compelling and a potential sign of the true identity of this guy.
So, with that in mind, I would like to raise the question on why we see the relatively larger breaks in time as the offender became more and more experienced and violent. From what I have read, serial suspects generally increase the frequency of their attacks as they continue their crimes, especially when the amount of violence increases.
In this case, the offender seems to have done the exact opposite. In the first year, there was one attack a month except for October where there were four; two on the same day actually. In the second year (1977), there were roughly two a month, again, except for October where there were four. There was also an almost four month break in 1977. In 1978, the frequency was essentially the same except there were four attacks in June and three attacks in October. Then, after two attacks in early December of 1978, there was a pause of several attacks until the next attack in early April of 1979. Then, after three attacks in June of 1979, the attacks seem to slow down where there was only one attack every 2-3 months. This continued through the third attack in Southern California in March of 1980. Then the attacks slowed down even more, with one happening roughly every five months. That continued until the last break between the sixth and seventh (last known) attack in Southern California where there was a break of almost five years.
Does anyone know of any information on the significance of these breaks? To me, this seems to be a real clue that could lead to the killer's identity. The number of attacks in October in the early years seems to be significant. The frequency in June in 1978 and 1979 also seems to be significant. Is there an industry that experiences yearly slowdowns during those months (obviously giving the offender more time to carry out attacks)?
The breaks toward the end of the attacks also seems to be very strange. Why the significant slowdown? I don't see those long breaks as necessarily a sign he was in jail or otherwise detained since they seem to be very cyclical but could this be the sign of the military link? And why the large break at the end. What was he doing during that long period of time. Would he be able to hold back his urges during that period to time and then just pop up to commit one more? Seems highly unlikely to me based on what I have read.
Anyway, just wanted to raise these issues and see if everyone else finds them very compelling and a potential sign of the true identity of this guy.